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Investors Should Worry About Apple’s (AAPL) Decelerating App Store Growth, Says UBS

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UBS analysts are raising concerns about Apple's decelerating App Store revenue growth, which could impact the future performance of its Services business. This observation follows a notable slowdown in App Store growth in May, particularly in the U.S. market.
  • UBS analysts have identified that Apple's App Store revenue growth slowed to the low single digits in May, with overall growth around 3%, significantly slower than April. This deceleration is partly attributed to a 7% decline in U.S. App Store revenue.
  • Furthermore, revenue growth related to generative AI within the App Store has also slowed considerably, falling from 190% year-over-year in January to approximately 94% in May. UBS anticipates limited upside from the App Store for the remainder of the year.
  • Despite these App Store concerns, UBS has maintained its Services segment growth forecast at 14% for the year and a $296 price target for Apple stock, rating it as a Hold.
  • The broader Wall Street consensus among 29 analysts is a Moderate Buy for Apple stock, with an average price target of $320.83, suggesting a slight potential upside.
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