Europe’s jet fuel supplies should fall below the key 23-day shortage threshold in June, so plan your travel accordingly
Fortune
Last updated: May 6, 2026
Europe faces a critical jet fuel shortage expected within weeks, potentially leading to widespread flight cancellations and the closure of smaller airports. This situation stems from a confluence of factors, including refinery issues and increased demand as travel rebounds.
- The primary driver of the impending shortage is a significant drop in European refinery output, particularly for distillates like jet fuel. Several refineries are undergoing extended maintenance, and some older, less efficient facilities have permanently closed.
- This reduced production capacity coincides with a strong resurgence in air travel demand following the COVID-19 pandemic. The imbalance between supply and demand is exacerbating the scarcity.
- The potential consequences are severe, including a sharp increase in flight cancellations beyond what has already occurred. Smaller, regional airports are particularly vulnerable, with the possibility of temporary or permanent closures due to the lack of affordable fuel.
- The economic implications extend to airlines, which will face higher operational costs, potentially passed on to consumers. The geopolitical landscape also plays a role, with global energy markets contributing to price volatility and supply chain fragility.
- The situation highlights Europe's reliance on specific refining capabilities and the challenges of navigating post-pandemic recovery in the aviation sector.
