HeadlineLogic Banner
User

Australia retains goods trade surplus as exports fall faster than imports

Australia recorded a seasonally adjusted goods trade surplus of $1.923 billion in July, although the result was $418 million smaller than the previous month.
Goods exports fell by $1.576 billion, or 3.3 per cent, to $46.261 billion, according to the Australian Bureau of Statistics.
The decline was driven principally by non-monetary gold and coal, coke and briquette exports.
Goods imports also fell, declining by $1.157 billion, or 2.5 per cent, to $44.339 billion. Lower imports of fuels, lubricants and non-monetary gold contributed to that movement.
A trade surplus occurs when the value of exported goods exceeds the value of imported goods during the measured period.
It can support national income and demand for the Australian dollar, but the headline balance does not provide a complete assessment of the economy. Australia also trades services and has substantial income flows involving overseas investment and debt.
Commodity movements can quickly change the balance
Australia’s export performance is closely connected to resources such as iron ore, coal and liquefied natural gas.
Export values can change because of price, quantity or both. In July, quantities of several coal and iron-ore products declined from the previous month, while unit values moved differently across individual commodities.
The quantity of liquefied natural gas exported increased by 8.5 per cent during July, while its unit value rose by 15.7 per cent.
On the import side, consumption goods increased by $457 million. Imports of non-industrial transport equipment, which include passenger vehicles, rose by $329 million.
Capital-goods imports increased by $675 million, driven by a sharp rise in automatic data-processing equipment. Such imports can reflect business investment in computing and technology, although monthly figures can be volatile.
A lower trade surplus is not automatically bad news. Imports of productive machinery may support future business activity, while falling fuel imports could reflect price changes, inventory movements or reduced demand.
Likewise, one month of lower exports does not establish a lasting trend.
The July result shows Australia continued to earn more from exported goods than it spent on goods from overseas, but its surplus remained exposed to changes in {commodity prices}, global demand and shipment volumes.
×

Sign Up